Results at a glance
Source: Company, PSR #Note – Only selected financials are provided in the 1Q22 update.
The Positive
+ Revenue building up momentum. Revenue momentum has picked up since 4Q21. Revenue is recovering to pre-pandemic levels as factory closures and supply chain disruptions over the past two years start to ease. Due to long lead times and shortages, Venture has managed to re-design products with alternative components.
The Negative
– Inventories spiked almost 70% YoY to S$1.1bn. To support customer orders, Venture needs to hold inventories of semiconductors, materials and other components. It is a near-term drag on working capital. Both receivables and inventory are up S$680mn YoY. The additional working capital required was $370mn to fund the $283mn increase in revenue over the past 12 months as payables jumped by S$305mn. Net cash dropped to S$815mn from S$989mn a year ago.
Outlook
We expect FY22e to be a recovery year for Venture as: (i) There is order visibility as customers make longer-term commitments to ensure supply; (ii) Growth is broad-based across six of their seven key industries; (iii) Rebound from last year’s factory shutdown in Malaysia; and (iv) New products gaining more traction with customers, namely in life science and lifestyle and wellness.
Upgrade to BUY from ACCUMULATE with an unchanged TP of S$20.00
Our FY22e revenue and earnings forecast are unchanged.
Paul has 20 years of experience as a fund manager and sell-side analyst. During his time as fund manager, he has managed multiple funds and mandates including capital guaranteed, dividend income, renewable energy, single country and regionally focused funds.
He graduated from Monash University and had completed both his Chartered Financial Analyst and Australian CPA programme.