- Q & M Dental can double its earnings upon completion of the acquisition of more than 70 dental clinics in Australia, Singapore and Thailand. The estimated value of the acquisitions is S$272mn, backed by five to eight-year profit guarantees totalling S$200mn.
- The acquisition will be satisfied by cash and shares. Using the Australia acquisition template, shares issued will be 40% of the purchase consideration at the issue price of S$0.70. There will be a 15-year moratorium on the shares and a 15-year service agreement to align the vendors' interests. The acquisitions are pending financial and legal due diligence. The embedded earnings growth from profit guarantee is around 14% p.a. for next three years.
- We estimate the acquisition could boost FY26e EPS by 80% to 3.5 cents. Our fair value post acquisition (excluding amortisation of intangibles) is S$0.95. However, we apply a 50% discount on the earnings accretion from the pending completion of the acquisitions. Our target price is raised to S$0.71 (prev. S$0.545). We peg valuations at 25x PE FY26e, in-line with Singapore healthcare sector. Aoxin Q & M Dental is valued at market valuation. Q & M Dental is building a dental franchise across the Asia Pacific through acquisitions. We view the long tenure of the share moratorium, service agreement and profit guarantee as equivalent to a permanent partnership to grow and scale up a new franchise and platform.
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