- Q & M Dental will acquire an Australian (100% stake) and Thailand (51%) dental group for around S$107mn and S$39mn, respectively. The purchase will be satisfied by a combined S$92mn cash and 86.7mn new shares (9.1% of existing shares). The shares are placed under a 15-year moratorium. The new shares are issued at a consideration price of S$0.70 per share.
- The combined acquisition is valued at 11.4x PE ratio (Australia 10x, Thailand 16x). The total purchase of S$146mn is backed by a six-to eight-year profit guarantee totalling S$126mn. The implied earnings growth from the profit guarantee is around 13%, with Thailand the highest at 22% CAGR.
- We view the acquisition positively. Firstly, the acquisitions can increase our FY26e EPS by 1.04 cents (+54%) to 2.96 cents (excluding amortisation of intangibles). Valuation is pushed down to 18x PE. Secondly, it raises the growth trajectory of the company with the faster-growing geographies of Australia and Thailand, backed by profit guarantees. Thirdly, the 15-year share moratorium cum service agreement and profit guarantees ensure alignment of interests to build and grow this Asia Pacific franchise. There are also synergies through group procurement, training, and best practises. We maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of S$0.71.
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