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1Q26 results below our expectations, with revenue up 69% YoY to US$663mn and PATMI increased 680% YoY to US$204mn, led by strong ad growth in both impressions and pricing. 1Q26 revenue/PATMI were at 18%/16% of our FY26e forecasts.
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Ad segment (95% of total revenue) continued to gain momentum, with 74% YoY growth driven by triple-digit growth in performance ads, and US & international ARPU increased 54% YoY & 51% YoY, respectively. Other revenue up 15% YoY, supported by stronger content-licensing business.
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We downgraded to ACCUMULATE rating and reduced our DCF target price to US$200 from US$240. We have revised our FY26e revenue and PATMI forecasts downward by ~10% and 2%, respectively to reflect a transition towards a more normalised ad growth trajectory following the initial post-IPO surge. However, we believe momentum will continue to be driven by the scaling of the Reddit Max AI ad suite, resilient ARPU growth, and high-margin data-licensing deals.
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