- The S-REITs Index fell 2.9% in February 2025, after gaining 0.2% in the previous month. The top performer for the month was Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP, non-rated), gaining 9% after the proposed privatisation offer of S$0.98 in cash. The worst performer was Manulife US REIT (MUST SP, non-rated), falling 23.2%, as financial metrics remain stretched. The overseas retail sub-sector was the top performer in February, gaining 1.4%, while the worst-performing sub-sector was overseas commercial, falling 10.3%.
- S-REITs are now trading at a forward dividend yield spread of c.3.8% (10-year average) and a P/NAV of 0.83x (-2x s.d.), which we consider an attractive entry point. We expect DPU to grow c.1% in 2025, with c.50% of S-REITs benefitting from interest savings in 2025 and the majority in 2026.
- We remain OVERWEIGHT on S-REITs, preferring those with a healthy balance sheet, strong sponsors, and improving operating metrics, particularly those with the potential to deliver sustainable DPU growth in a higher interest rate environment. We prefer the retail sub-sector as rental reversions remain strong. Catalysts for growth include asset recycling and accelerated interest rate cuts. Our top picks are Stoneweg European REIT (SERT SP, BUY, TP €1.86) and CapitaLand Ascott Trust (CLAS SP, BUY, TP S$1.05).
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