- Both 1Q26 revenue and adj. PATMI were within our expectations. 1Q26 revenue/adj.PATMI was at 21% and 20% of our FY26e forecasts. Revenue and adjusted PATMI remain back-end loaded due to the seasonal nature of e-commerce, where activity and merchant spending are typically strongest in 4Q.
- Revenue grew 34% YoY, supported by growth in both subscription solutions (+21% YoY) and merchant solutions (+39% YoY). Margins -70bps YoY, due to a mix shift toward lower-margin Merchant Solutions revenue and higher AI/LLM costs.
- We maintain our BUY recommendation, with an unchanged target price of US$160. Our FY26e forecast, terminal growth, and WACC assumptions remain unchanged. SHOP continues to deliver strong growth while remaining uniquely positioned to benefit from the rise of agentic commerce, reinforcing our positive long-term view on the company.
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