- Singapore equities rebounded in May with a gain of 2.5%, bringing YTD26 gains to 8.4%. Expectations of an end to the Middle East conflict supported a rebound in transportation-related stocks. Conversely, energy names pulled back, and banks reached record highs amid expectations interest rates would remain elevated.
- The tech sector continues to dictate market performance this year, clearly evidenced by the massive outperformance in Taiwan and South Korea. Big tech in the US is spending almost all its operating cash flow to fund US$700bn in capex in 2026. This is projected to rise to US$900bn in 2027. Equity and debt funding is also tapped to finance the capex. This represents what is likely the largest wealth transfer on record, directed toward the construction of AI data centres or intelligence factories globally. AI token generation is expected to spike 40-fold to 1.27tr every 10 seconds by 2030.
- We think Singapore banks are in their sweet spot moment. Loan growth is accelerating as a capex cycle is underway in data centre infrastructure, energy and construction. Loan growth reached 8% YoY in April. Interest rates are bottoming out, and fee income is boosted by vibrant capital markets. Banks provide attractive dividend yields (~4.5%) hedged against rising inflation.
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