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The technical picture of the US 10-Year Treasury Yield across the monthly timeframe reflects a breakout of the multi-decade downtrend since 2022, with renewed bullish momentum recently given a breakout of the 4.75%-5.02% area in September 2026.
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The US10Y's main trend is trading within a rising wedge formation, and it is currently consolidating sideways at the 5.25%-5.28% near-term resistance zone, which were the peaks during pre Global Financial Crisis.
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In the mid-term, should the US10Y break out of 5.28% area, the next key resistance area would be at 5.90%-6.06%, which represents a retest of the rising wedge trendline that were key in 2016, 2018 and 2023. In the longer term, the 6.79% level would be a key resistance which represents a retest of the peak formed before the Dot-com bubble burst.
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