- 1Q26 revenue/PATMI were below expectations at 22%/19% of our FY26e forecast. Underlying PATMI in 1Q26 fell 16% YoY to S$40.5mn. The largest drag to earnings was the 45% YoY collapse in operating earnings to S$17.5mn.
- The two weak spots in 1Q26 earnings were (i) Declines in Singapore and Australia taxi fleet of 7% and 10% YoY, respectively, and overall weakness in consumer spending on private hire; (ii) Disruption to Middle East airlines’ airport transfer bookings in the UK.
- We lower our FY26e earnings by 11% to S$190.6mn. Our DCF target price is lowered to S$1.35, and recommendation downgraded from ACCUMULATE to NEUTRAL. Higher fuel prices, additional surcharges, and weaker economic conditions will soften spending on premium transportation services such as taxis. Taxi operations face the additional pressure of intense competition and declining fleet size. Comfort is transitioning to a more hybrid P2P model in Singapore that includes autonomous technology.
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