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Mag-7 (+3.5%) rose for a second straight month, ahead of the S&P500 (+2.6%) but behind the NASDAQ (+4.2%). The two largest AI spenders, GOOGL (-5.3%) and AMZN (-4.3%), were the only decliners, while NVDA (+9.5%) and MSFT (+9.2%) rallied on AI revenue and capex discipline. TSLA (+18.2%) led the group after Nevada cleared it to run up to 5,000 robotaxis in Clark County.
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We maintain OVERWEIGHT on the Mag-7. August marked a shift from rewarding AI spending to rewarding AI revenue. NVDA guided FY28e revenue to grow ~70% YoY, constrained by supply and not demand, while GOOGL fell on an AI leadership reshuffle and a US$25bn bond issue to fund data centres, and AMZN on proposed US tariffs on imported chips.
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The Mag-7 index trades at 23x forward earnings, with earnings growth of 32%/30% for FY26e/27e. It trades below its 10-year average of 30.2x and below -1SD, while still making up ~35% of S&P500 market cap. Our top Mag-7 pick remains GOOG at 16.6x forward earnings, the cheapest in the group and less than half the group’s average, with the fastest cloud growth among CSPs over the past five years.
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