- 1H26 revenue and adjusted PATMI were below expectations at 44%/40% of our FY26e estimates, respectively. 1H26 adjusted PATMI declined 18% YoY to S$29mn. Revenue fell 7% YoY to S$353mn, dragged down by weakness in transitional care facility (TCF).
- Healthcare services contracted 17% YoY to S$112mn on weaker patient load from TCF. Expansion in public hospital beds has pulled down utilisation rate of TCF. Other drivers of the weakness in revenue are lower elective surgeries and a decline in foreign patients.
- We lower our FY26e adj. PATMI by 10% to S$65.4mn from 5% lower revenue estimates. Our NEUTRAL recommendation is maintained with a lower DCF target price of S$0.92 (prev. S$1.02). It remains a challenging environment. Patient volumes are under pressure from cheaper alternatives from overseas countries (namely Malaysia) and public hospitals. The high fixed cost in operating TCF will be an added burden to earnings. Private insurers will also maintain pressure on raising revenue intensity of patients. China operations are growing, but regulatory changes are a perennial unknown.
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