1) Treasuries initially sold off earlier in the week after stronger-than-expected US growth data pushed out expectations for 2026 rate cuts. Yields retraced on Friday, as light post-holiday trading and the absence of fresh inflation or labour market data to sustain the move, leaving yields broadly unchanged on the week.
2) SGS yields moved modestly higher over the week. The 2Y and 5Y yields rose by ~6bps and 2bps, respectively, from last week’s levels, while the 10Y yields were broadly stable.
3) Looking ahead, USTs are likely to trade range-bound, as strong growth data limits the urgency for near-term rate cuts. Domestically, with 2026 GDP growth projected at 1–3% and core inflation at 0.5–1.5%, Singapore’s macro backdrop remains supportive of policy stability. MAS is expected to keep the S$NEER parameters unchanged next year, preserving flexibility amid global uncertainty.
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