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4Q25 PATMI rose 12% YoY to US$7.6bn and was slightly below our estimates, with FY25 earnings at 95% of our FY25e forecast, from lower-than-expected market making income and higher expenses. Earnings growth came from higher NII and investment and brokerage fees, and lower provisions. DPS was raised 8% YoY to US$0.28 and 4Q25 common stock net repurchases amounted to US$6.3bn (4Q24: US$3.5bn).
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4Q25 earnings growth was driven by record NII (+10% YoY) from Global Markets activity, fixed-rate asset repricing, and higher deposit and loan balances. Earnings were further supported by a recovery in investment and brokerage revenue (+12% YoY), and lower provisions (-10% YoY). BAC has provided guidance for FY26e NII growth of ~5-7% from continued fixed-rate asset repricing and deposit and loan growth, with 1Q26e NII growth of ~7% YoY. 1Q26e expenses are expected to rise by ~4% YoY.
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