- In Aug25, the aviation sector demonstrated stable performance, with China Aviation Oil (CAO) continuing to lead the performance, surging 17.4% underpinned by its strong balance sheet and the recovery tailwind of the Chinese aviation industry. SATS and SIA Engineering (SIE) edged up 1.6% and 0.3% respectively, while Singapore Airlines (SIA) extended its downward trend and inched down by 0.2%.
- In July 25, SIA continued to see firm travel demand across all routes, with group passenger traffic rising 5.4% YoY, outpacing the 2.7% increase in capacity, which lifted the passenger load factor (PLF) by 2.3ppts YoY to 88%. On the cargo side, demand softened as front-loading eased. Cargo loads inched up 0.5% YoY, lagging the 2.3% capacity increase, which drove the cargo load factor down by 0.9 ppt to 55.2%.
- We remain NEUTRAL on the air transportation sector. Passenger traffic continues to show resilience. While headwinds such as a weaker US macro outlook are likely to moderate the pace of expansion, we do not expect a broad-based downturn in passenger traffic at this juncture.
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