The positives
The negatives
Outlook
The outlook remains challenging. Despite the YoY higher 2Q18 PATMI, margins continue to compress, and PATMI came in lower than our expectation. Absence of strong catalyst will keep the share price muted, in our view. However, SIAEC has a strong balance sheet with a net cash position, which it is utilising to start new ventures.
Upgrade to Neutral (from Reduce); lower target price of S$3.35 (previously $3.70)
We have incorporated 1H18 results into our FY18e estimate, and made some adjustments to our margin assumptions and profit contribution from associates/JVs. Our FY18e/FY19e PATMI is now 8.6%/14.9% lower than previous estimates. We have also lowered our FY18e/FY19e ordinary dividend forecast to 12.0/12.5 cents from 13.0/14.5 cents previously
Our target price gives an implied FY18e forward P/E multiple of 24.6x. This compares against the STI next 12-months forward P/E multiple of 15.0x.
Richard covers the Transport Sector and Industrial REITs. He graduated with a Master of Science in Applied Finance from the Singapore Management University. He holds the CFTe and FRM certifications and is a CFA charterholder.
He was ranked #2 Top Stock Picker (Asia) for Real Estate Investment Trusts in the 2018 Thomson Reuters Analyst Awards, and ranked #2 Top Stock Picker (Singapore) for Resources & Infrastructure in the 2016 Thomson Reuters Analyst Awards.