The Positive
+ Strong growth in co-living. Co-living revenue more than doubled to S$17.8mn. Growth was driven by the new 411 key Coliwoo Orchard, launched in Feb 23. Room rates have been rising for Coliwoo and occupancy remains high at 94.7%. We expect 1H24 growth will be driven by Coliwoo Orchard and additional new projects, 404 Pasir Panjang (63 keys) and 48 & 50 Arab Street (26 keys). Both assets will be operational in 2Q24.
The Negative
– Lumpy commercial earnings. 2H23 PBT for commercial declined significantly due to lower gains from sublease. Such gains are lumpy and represent the fair value of the remaining lease of the asset once tenanted. Commercial recognised a S$5.8mn upfront gain in FY22, based on pre-IFRS 16 reconciliation.
Outlook
We expect another year of growth for LHN in FY24e
The sale of 49 units of the food factory development project in 55 Tuas South Ave 1 will be the major engine for earnings growth in FY25e. Our forecast does not incorporate these development earnings.
Maintain BUY with lower TP of S$0.39 (prev. S$0.47)
We maintain a BUY with a lower TP of S$0.39. Our valuations are pegged to 6.5x FY24e P/E, while the industry is trading around 13x. LHN is trading at 5x PE and a 39% discount to book value of S$0.53.
Paul has 20 years of experience as a fund manager and sell-side analyst. During his time as fund manager, he has managed multiple funds and mandates including capital guaranteed, dividend income, renewable energy, single country and regionally focused funds.
He graduated from Monash University and had completed both his Chartered Financial Analyst and Australian CPA programme.