The positives
The negatives
Outlook
The possibility of an equity fund raising exercise soon is at the back of our mind. Current aggregate leverage of 32.1% is close to the historical high of c.32.5% after the acquisition of the Milan DC in October 2016. Shortly after, a Preferential Offering was completed in November 2016 in conjunction with the acquisition of KDC SGP 3. The price of KDCREIT has made a good run, and the current price is 1.41x P/NAV. The conditions are ripe to raise new equity with the next acquisition.
Maintain Neutral, higher target price of $1.36 (previously $1.31)
We raise our FY17e/FY18e DPU forecast by 6.5%/10.9% as we tweak our revenue assumptions. Our target price represents an implied FY17e P/NAV multiple of 1.42x.
Relative valuation
KDCREIT is relatively over-valued in terms of trailing P/NAV, in comparison to its Australia Stock Exchange (ASX)-listed peer, Asia Pacific Data Centre.
Richard covers the Transport Sector and Industrial REITs. He graduated with a Master of Science in Applied Finance from the Singapore Management University. He holds the CFTe and FRM certifications and is a CFA charterholder.
He was ranked #2 Top Stock Picker (Asia) for Real Estate Investment Trusts in the 2018 Thomson Reuters Analyst Awards, and ranked #2 Top Stock Picker (Singapore) for Resources & Infrastructure in the 2016 Thomson Reuters Analyst Awards.