IREIT Global – Occupancy-improvement and M&A prospects August 11, 2021 247

PSR Recommendation: BUY Status: Upgraded
Target Price: 0.750
  • 1H21 NPI and DPU in line, at 49.6%/51.7% of our FY21e estimates. No rent rebates or deferrals in 1H21. Portfolio valuation up by 3.9% HoH, led by a 7% increase for Berlin campus.
  • Positive leasing in Germany and Spain to improve occupancy in 3Q21.
  • We tweak FY21e DPU by 0.5% after a modest lift to revenue. Upgrade to BUY from ACCUMULATE with higher DDM TP of S$0.75, from S$0.68. Cost of equity lowered from 7.85% to 7.3% to reflect resilience of European office asset class. Catalysts expected from potential occupancy improvements and M&As.

 

The Positives

+ Stable. 1H21 NPI and DPU were in line, at 49.6%/51.7% of our FY21e estimates. Gross revenue and NPI increased 31.6% and 23.4% YoY following its acquisition of a remaining 60% interest in the Spanish portfolio on 22 October 2020. Property expenses jumped as its Spanish properties are multi-let and have lower NPI yields. DPU fell 21.4% YoY from an enlarged unit base following IREIT’s rights issue on 18 September 2020 There were no requests for rental rebates or deferrals from tenants in 1H21 – a good sign.

 

+ Higher valuations. Portfolio valuation was raised by 3.9% HoH, led by a 7% HoH increase for IREIT’s largest property, Berlin campus. Apart from lower discount and capitalisation rates applied across its portfolio, Deutsche Rentenversicherung Bund, its major tenant at the Berlin campus, did not exercise its break option in June 2021 to return part of its leased space to IREIT in 2022. As a result, its entire lease will now only expire in June 2024, raising Berlin campus’ income visibility. This bumped up the property’s valuation.

 

The Negative

– Nil.

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About the author

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Tan Jie Hui
Research Analyst
Phillip Securities Research

Jiehui covers the REITs and Property sector. Previously at a sell-side research firm, Jiehui was exposed to news flow and insights from various industries and assisted the property and consumer analysts with their coverage.

She graduated with a Bachelor of Business Management with a major in Finance from Singapore Management University.

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