First REIT: A visit to hospitals in Jakarta October 20, 2017

PSR Recommendation: NEUTRALStatus: MaintainedTarget Price: SGD1.32

We were hosted to a site visit to four of First REIT’s hospitals in Jakarta by Management. All the hospitals we visited are operated by Siloam Hospitals (SILO IJ), a subsidiary of First REIT’s sponsor Lippo Karawaci and listed on Jakarta stock exchange. Below are our key takeaways from the visit.

State of the art equipment in Siloam Hospitals

To cater the middle-upper class of Indonesia, Siloam Hospitals (Siloam) boast of some of the most advanced medical equipment in the country. Since its founding, Siloam has been a pioneer in rolling out the latest technology in healthcare in Indonesia, such as in the use of MRI 3-Tesla, CT Scan 256 Slice, Rapid Arc Linear Accelerator and Gamma Knife. Siloam Lippo Village, for instance, houses the only Gamma Knife facility in the whole country (Figures 7 and 8). Gamma Knife is an advanced non-invasive radiation treatment for brain tumours and lesions.

Nationwide healthcare insurance BPJS driving healthcare demand in Indonesia

Jump in revenue from BPJS. For FY16, patients from BPJS Kesehatan (BPJS) contributed 20% (FY15: 5-7%) of total Gross Operating Revenue for Siloam Hospitals, despite having only 16 out of 23 operational hospitals participating in the scheme.

Nationwide coverage by 2019. Currently, about 170mn citizens are enrolled in BPJS Health. The scheme is expected to cover all Indonesian citizens by 2019. By 2019, all hospitals in Indonesia (including private ones) are mandated to accept BPJS patients, with a regulation to allocate at least 20% of rooms to Class 3 wards.

Affordable insurance premium payment for BPJS – Poor: Fixed premiums of IDR 19,225 paid by the government. Civil Servants/Private sector: 5% of salary, of which 4% to be paid by the employer (max Rp189,000) and 1% by employee (max Rp47,250).

Potential demand from private healthcare insurance. Indonesia’s private healthcare insurance penetration is estimated at 8% or roughly 20 million people1. With a growing middle class, there remains huge potential for private health insurance coverage to be expanded, which would drive demand for healthcare.

Rapid expansion in hospital assets in Indonesia – Overcoming the shortage of doctors in Indonesia

With a low number of doctors per 1,000 population of 0.3 in 2012, Indonesia has a significantly lower ratio of doctors than neighbouring Thailand (0.7), Malaysia (1.3) and Singapore (2.0).  Only local doctors are allowed to practise in Indonesia. Lippo Group’s Universitas Pelita Harapan (UPH) has its own medical faculty where it trains doctors who will work in Siloam hospitals upon graduation. Except for new doctors on fixed pay, most other doctors are non-resident doctors with a profit-sharing remuneration system with the hospitals they work at. Doctors in Indonesia are allowed to practice at maximum 3 different hospitals. There are no regulations in Indonesia restricting the pricing of medical services.

Acquisition of Siloam Hospitals Yogyakarta

Separately, on 15 October 2017, First REIT announced the acquisition of the hospital component of an integrated development in Yogyakarta (Siloam Hospitals Yogyakarta) for S$27mn. Rental yield based on an initial base rent of S$2.43mn per annum is 9%, in line with previous acquisitions, and higher than the blended average cost of capital of c.5.1% (using an assumed 60-40% equity-debt ratio). The terms and quantum of the acquisitions are within our forecasts. This brings total acquisition quantum for the year to S$57mn.

1Source: Frost and Sullivan, 2016

Investment Action

We maintain our NEUTRAL rating on First REIT. Our unchanged target price of S$1.32 translates to an FY17e yield of 6.5% and P/NAV of 1.21.

 

First REIT Historical Dividend Yield and Price/NAV

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About the author

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Tan Dehong
Research Analyst
Phillip Securities Research Pte Ltd

Dehong covers primarily the REITs and property developer sector. He has close to 7 years experience in equities related dealing and research roles.

He graduated with a Masters of Science in Applied Finance from SMU and Bachelors of Accountancy from NTU.

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