The Positives
+ Operating leverage intact. Revenue rose S$208mn YoY to S$1.74bn. Due to the business’ large fixed costs, around three-quarters of the revenue increase or S$154mn immediately translated into higher earnings. Taxis benefited from lower rental discounts while public transport gained from higher rail ridership and fuel indexation.
+ Return of interim dividends. FCF in 1H21 was S$287mn, up from S$189.1mn in 1H20. Interim DPS of 2.1 cents represents a payout of 50%. This is still below the 4.5 cents and 66% paid out before the pandemic in 1H19. Capex will likely trend below pre-pandemic S$300mn levels as a programme to purchase hybrid taxis is in its last stages with 600-700 units left to be purchased.
The Negatives
– Nil.
Outlook
Operating leverage and end of lockdowns are earnings catalysts, in our view. Pre-pandemic revenue and operating profit in 1H19 were S$1.92bn and S$222mn respectively. These compares with current operating profits before government relief of S$77mn. Our FY22e forecastes assume a close-to-full recovery to pre-pandemic levels.
Paul has 20 years of experience as a fund manager and sell-side analyst. During his time as fund manager, he has managed multiple funds and mandates including capital guaranteed, dividend income, renewable energy, single country and regionally focused funds.
He graduated from Monash University and had completed both his Chartered Financial Analyst and Australian CPA programme.