+ Free cash-flows grew due to lower capex. Free cash-flows generated was $24mn, providing sufficient support to the quarterly dividends of S$4.5mn. Growth in cash-flows stemmed from the S$10mn decline in capital expenditure and stable EBITDA.
+ Broadband revenue growth accelerating. 3Q21 broadband net adds in subscribers was a record 10,000 to 274,000. Attractive pricing plus partnerships with various mobile operators helped. The rise in net adds was accompanied by an improvement in ARPU. Joint marketing with mobile operators has allowed APTT to widen their pool of customers. Mobile operators can sell bundled plans with APTT fixed broadband.
– Core cable secular weakness intact. Cable TV subscribers have been on a decline for more than 15 quarters. The main factors are piracy, aggressive IPTV prices and a saturated cable TV market.
Despite improving cash-flows, APTT will maintain DPU at 1 cent for FY22. The focus is to reduce borrowings and refinance the more expensive offshore debt (interest margin 4.1% to 5.5%) with onshore facilities as net debt to EBITDA metrics improve.
Downgrade from BUY to ACCUMULATE with an unchanged target price of S$0.15
Our downgrade in recommendation is due to the recent share price appreciation. APTT pays an attractive dividend yield of 7.4% well supported by cash flows.