Ascendas REIT – Grabbing a new tenant January 31, 2019

PSR Recommendation: ACCUMULATE Status: Maintained
Last Close Price: S$3.05 Target Price: S$S$2.88
  • Gross revenue and DPU in line with expectation
  • Almost full quarter contribution from Second UK portfolio of 26 logistics assets
  • Build-to-suit development for Grab’s new headquarters at one-north
  • Maintain ACCUMULATE. Raised target price to $2.88 (previously $2.78) due to higher DPU estimate

The Positives

  • Positive rental reversions across all segments in Singapore. Rental reversions ranged between +1.7% and +10.3% across the five segments, with a weighted average of +3.2%. There were no renewals signed in Australia and UK.
  • Acquisition of Second UK portfolio of 26 logistics properties was completed on 4 Oct. S$800mn UK portfolio is now 7% of A-REIT’s total portfolio, compared to 3% in the previous quarter. The UK portfolio has a long weighted average lease expiry (WALE) of 11.3 years compared to Singapore WALE of 3.9 years, thus providing income visibility. The earliest lease expiry in the UK portfolio is in FY21.
  • Total portfolio occupancy remains stable QoQ, inching up from 90.6% to 91.3%. This was driven by the Singapore and UK portfolios. For Singapore, there were new take ups which improved occupancy to 87.3%, while the enlarged UK portfolio remained at 100% occupancy.
  • Secured S$181mn build-to-suit project for Grab’s headquarters at one-north. The asset will be a 42,310 sqm GFA business park property. The expected completion is in 4Q 2020. (For comparison, A-REIT’s Giant Hypermart property in Tampines has a GFA of 42,194 sqm.) It will be on a long lease term of 11 years with annual rental escalation and renewal option for a further five years. In the grand scheme of things, the property will not make a material impact to A-REIT’s portfolio which currently stands at S$11.1bn.

The Negatives

  • QoQ higher aggregate leverage, but it does not come as a surprise. Leverage increased from 33.2% to 36.7% due to new debt to part-fund the second UK portfolio. In our previous report, we estimated 36.4% leverage by the end of FY19.
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About the author

Profile photo of Richard Leow

Richard Leow
Research Analyst
Phillip Securities Research Pte Ltd

Richard covers the Transport Sector and Industrial REITs. He graduated with a Master of Science in Applied Finance from the Singapore Management University. He holds the CFTe and FRM certifications and is a CFA charterholder.

He was ranked #2 Top Stock Picker (Asia) for Real Estate Investment Trusts in the 2018 Thomson Reuters Analyst Awards, and ranked #2 Top Stock Picker (Singapore) for Resources & Infrastructure in the 2016 Thomson Reuters Analyst Awards.

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